STATE REGULATION OF AVALANCHE DANGER ASSESSMENT IN RUSSIA

Authors

  • Pavel A. Chernous Special Research Bureau for Automation of Marine Researches, Far East Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk, Russia , Специальное конструкторское бюро средств автоматизации морских исследований Дальневосточного отделения Российской академии наук, г. Южно-Сахалинск, Россия https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6006-5717

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34753/HS.2020.2.3.295
+ Keywords

state regulation, avalanche danger, terminology, data interpretation, calculations, quality of assessments

+ Abstract

In Russia, the types of activities that include the assessment of avalanche danger (activity) are licensed by the government, with the exception of that when the assessments are carried out for construction, which is regulated by self-regulating organizations. But even in this case, a number of standards and rules are established by state bodies. Experience in assessing of avalanche danger during surveys, operational forecasting and for the artificial avalanche releases shows that all methods are far from perfect, and some of them contains significant errors. The quality of the methods for calculating the avalanche velocities and runout distances, avalanche volumes, impact pressures and methods of avalanche occurrence forecasting are estimated. For example, in one of the methods that has been used for almost half a century, the avalanche runout distance is greatly underestimated, the avalanche speed underestimated by half, and the shock pressure by four times. Now it is no mandatory (but the document not canceled), but researches for many projects with its using were carried out for many years. Of course it is necessary to review all projects where the method was applied. In all documents, there is a common drawback - many of the initial data for the calculations are not defined correctly. Their ambiguous interpretation is allowed. Some techniques are based on incorrect assumptions and incorrect data interpretations. The paper provides an analysis of the imperfections in considered documents. Possibilities for their improvement are proposed.

+ Author Biographies

Pavel A. Chernous

E-mail: pchernous48@gmail.com
eLibrary (РИНЦ) SPIN-код: 9801-3555
Scopus ID: 57195006512
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6006-5717

+ References

Prakticheskoe posobie po prognozirovaniyu lavinnoi opasnosti [A practical guide for avalanche hazard forecasting]. Leningrad, Publ. Gidrometeoizdat, 1979. 200 p. (In Russian)

Chernous P.A. Nekotorie rezultati ocenki kachestva opredeleniya lavinnogo riska [Some results of determination of avalanche risk quality assessment]. Materialy glyatsiologicheskikh issledovanii [Materials of glaciological studies], 2002, iss. 91, pp. 105-109. (In Russian; abstract in English).

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Published

2020-09-30

Issue

Section

Issues of improving regulatory documentation

How to Cite

Pavel A. Chernous. (2020). STATE REGULATION OF AVALANCHE DANGER ASSESSMENT IN RUSSIA. Hydrosphere. Hazard Processes and Phenomena, 2(3), 295-304. https://doi.org/10.34753/HS.2020.2.3.295

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