Prolongation of Hydrological Rows of Water Levels and Discharge Using Dendrochronological Reconstructions on Example of Black Poplar and White Willow in Western Siberia
Authors
- Marina A. Gurskaya nstitute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
- Leonid I. Agafonov nstitute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
- Maxim O. Yermolenko Ural Federal University
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.34753/HS.2025.7.3.274+ Keywords
+ Abstract
Extending hydroclimatic time series is a critical task in hydrology and climatology. Tree rings from riparian forests offer a valuable proxy for reconstructing hydrological parameters. While tree-ring-based streamflow reconstructions are established in northern and arid ecosystems, such studies are absent for temperate climates. A consensus is also lacking on whether water level or water discharge is more suitable for reconstruction. This study analyses relationships between mean monthly water levels and discharge of the Tura River (Turinsk gauge) and ring widths of Populus nigra L. (poplar) and Salix alba L. (willow), to reconstruct these variables and identify extreme hydrological years. Ring-width measurements were obtained from tree cores. Cross-dated individual series were used to build standardized residual chronologies for poplar (1876–2022) and willow (1879–2022). Correlation analysis has shown a stronger relationship between the poplar chronology and May water levels, and willow chronologies and April-May water levels, than with corresponding discharge data. Linear regression was used to reconstruct both hydrological variables. Despite higher correlation coefficients with water levels, the reconstruction models for level and discharge were similar. However, the water level model better captured extreme hydrological years. These strong associations during extreme years are attributed to the wide floodplain of the Tura River. Periods of high and low streamflow were successfully identified. The results confirm that poplar and willow from the river floodplain are reliable proxies for hydrological changes in the southern taiga of Western Siberia.
+ Author Biographies
D.Sc (Biology), Leading Researcher, Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Yekaterinburg, Russia, SPIN-code: 7010-1752, https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5815-7228, ResearcherID ABF-1384-2020, Author ID Scopus: 6507383427, Head of Laboratory, Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Yekaterinburg, Russia, SPIN-code: 1809-2486, https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4595-4978, ResearcherID O-7755-2014, Author ID Scopus: 6603717263, master student, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russia,
Marina A. Gurskaya
e-mail: mgurskaya@yandex.ru.
Leonid I. Agafonov
e-mail: agafonov@ipae.uran.ru.
Maxim O. Yermolenko
e-mail: yermaxim@yahoo.com.
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Copyright (c) 2025 Марина Анатольевна Гурская, Леонид Иванович Агафонов, Максим Олегович Ермоленко
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